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roko3 comments on Disappointment in the Future - Less Wrong
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Comments (26)
Given that i'm lying in bed with my iPhone commenting on this post, I'd say ray did ok.
His extrapolations of computer hardware seem to be pretty good.
His extrapolations of computer software are far too optimistic. He clearly made the mistake of vastly underestimating how much work our brains do when we translate natural language or turn speech into text.