RobinHanson comments on True Sources of Disagreement - Less Wrong

8 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 08 December 2008 03:51PM

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Comment author: RobinHanson 09 December 2008 12:18:03AM 0 points [-]

Misc points:

  • I guessed a week to month doubling time, not six months,
  • I've talked explicitly about integrated communities of faster ems,
  • I used a learning-by-doing modeling approach to endogenize Moore's law,
  • any model of minds useable for forecasting world trends must leave out detail,
  • most people complain economists using game theory to model humans ignores too much human detail; what excess human detail do you think economists retain?
  • research labs hiring workers, e.g., Intel, are willing to trade off worker speed, i.e., hours per week, for worker salary, experience, etc.; a model that says Intel cares only about worker speed misses an awful lot.