Wei_Dai comments on The Mechanics of Disagreement - Less Wrong

8 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 10 December 2008 02:01PM

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Comment author: Wei_Dai 06 December 2009 10:29:53PM 1 point [-]

You can "resolve" a disagreement by moving your opinion in the direction of the other opinion. If failing to do this reduces your average accuracy, I feel I can call that failure "irrational".

Do you have a suggestion for how much one should move one's opinion in the direction of the other opinion, and an argument that doing so would improve average accuracy?

If you don't have time for that, can you just explain what you mean by "average"? Average over what, using what distribution, and according to whose computation?

Comment author: timtyler 21 December 2009 09:06:51PM 0 points [-]

How confident are you? How confident do you think your opponent is? Use those estimates to derive the distance you move.