Cyan2 comments on She has joined the Conspiracy - Less Wrong

9 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 13 January 2009 07:48PM

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Comment author: Cyan2 15 January 2009 11:05:38PM 5 points [-]

CannibalSmith, JacobLyles,

The emphasis on Bayesian probability is because it is the simplest way to extend classical logic to propositions with varying degrees of plausibility. Just as all classical logic can be reduced to repeated applications of modus ponens, all manipulations of plausibility can be reduced to applications of Bayes' Theorem (assuming you want results that will line up with classical logic as the plausibilities approach TRUE and FALSE).

Comment author: FiftyTwo 19 December 2011 08:19:14PM 0 points [-]

That is one of the best and simplest explanations I've ever heard.