Chris_Yeh comments on Getting Nearer - Less Wrong
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The distinction between "near" and "far" thinking seems to have a connection with the old distinction between a puzzle and a mystery.
(Quick recap: A puzzle has a definite solution; a mystery does not)
Near thinking is outstanding for solving puzzles, but breaks down when examining a mystery. There is too much that is uncertain and unknowable about mysteries to allow close analysis to provide useful conclusions.
When examining a mystery, the less rigorous, more intuitive nature of far-thinking is more useful. Where there is no definite solution, one *must* speculate in a somewhat irrational way in order to form an action plan.
General George S. Patton said, "An imperfect plan implemented immediately and violently will always succeed better than a perfect plan."