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Aron comments on Rationality Quotes 25 - Less Wrong
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Comments (12)
Terrence McKenna was fond of saying essentially the same thing as Vaksel.
"1% occurrence, and 95% accuracy, a diagnostic test would yield only a 19% probability"
Isn't it ~16.1%? (95 * 1) / ((95 * 1) + (5 * 99))