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Will_Newsome comments on Pascal's Mugging as an epistemic problem - Less Wrong Discussion
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Mhm, which leads to debate about cryonics. Is it in the reference class of 'magic' or 'speculative investment'?
Anyone in the world can walk up to you and say "I'll give you one hundred quadrillion utiles."
A cryonics organization also shows you that there are others who trust them, demonstrates some scientific feasibility for the process they're carrying out, and demonstrate that it is serious enough for at least one life insurance carrier to deal with it.
These seem like very different situations to me.
If they promise you a post-Singularity awakening, it's magic, otherwise it's speculative investment.