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Louie comments on How would you spend 30 million dollars? - Less Wrong Discussion
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This is an interesting exercise. I'm glad you took the time to write it up for us.
It would be interesting to try and quantify the benefits of proposed investments by estimating the amounts and probability of extending life for each project or donation -- and maybe converting that back into dollars -- JenniferRM may be able to share her handy insurance formulas for doing such things. Perhaps something like that would make it more obvious how much leverage you think each of these projects has.
Thank you, Louie. As a matter of fact, I was thinking about what you're proposing and it certainly seems like a great idea. It would be also very good to estimate the multiplication effect of these projects, because they can act like firestarters, giving birth to interest, more donations, and hence, more leverage.