Vladimir_Nesov comments on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 6 - Less Wrong Discussion
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Ch. 61: "And there is no one else in the world who would accidentally overestimate my wit, and leave me a message I cannot understand at all."
Ch. 62: "The Death Eaters learned, toward the end of the war, not to attack the Order's families."
I didn't say there weren't good clues. Just that those clues come too late to help with the sort of person likely to give up around chapter 20.
Just answering the questions.