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Manfred comments on A Thought on Pascal's Mugging - Less Wrong Discussion

12 Post author: komponisto 10 December 2010 06:08AM

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Comment author: Manfred 12 December 2010 12:09:11AM 2 points [-]

I would classify a supposedly scientific paper that "sat on figures" and "was instructed about the desired conclusion" as a fraud. If you would prefer "whitewash" (a word you did use) instead of "fraud" I would be happy to change in the future.

just think it is funny that an official LHC risk assessment paper presumably designed to reassure fails to come up with any probabilities - and just says: "it's safe".To someone like me, that makes it look as though it is primarily a PR exercise.

But the paper was quite a bit longer than "it's safe," seemed quite correct (though particle physics isn't my field), and indeed gave you enough information to calculate approximate probabilities yourself if you wanted to. So to me it looks like you're judging on only a tiny part of the information you actually have.