DanArmak comments on Many of us *are* hit with a baseball once a month. - Less Wrong Discussion
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That has a simple explanation: before it was possible, the question simply didn't arise; there was no reason to discuss it! It doesn't tell us if opinions changed at that point.
But if the hypothesis is that the arguments exist to rationalize the existence of the problem, we should expect just as many, if not more, of these arguments before the problem was solvable.
Good point. In light of that my hypothesis isn't very good.