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Jack comments on In Defense of Objective Bayesianism: MaxEnt Puzzle. - Less Wrong Discussion

6 Post author: Larks 06 January 2011 12:56AM

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Comment author: Jack 06 January 2011 05:56:06AM 1 point [-]

Are there other examples that have the same bizarrely wrong results?

Comment author: Larks 07 January 2011 01:40:01AM 1 point [-]

There are a couple of others, all of which seem to rely on being told probabilities. You assign P(A) = 0.5, and then get told that P(A) = 0.7.

It seems that either P(A) = 0.7 is someone else's degree of belief, in which case Aumann comes into play, or a statement about what your degree of belief should be, given your evidence. But idealised Bayesian agents don't make that sort of mistake!