There is some hope 1. ) the absence of any paperclippers out there is evidence that the idea of AI going FOOM is bogus 2.) our FAI will make a deal with other FAI's.
I agree that friendliness is subjective. CEV of humanity will equal paperclipping for most minds and even be disregarded by some human minds.
Why do we imagine our actions could have consequences for more than a few million years into the future?
Unless what we believe about evolution is wrong, or UFAI is unlikely, or we are very very lucky, we should assume there are already a large number of unfriendly AIs in the universe, and probably in our galaxy; and that they will assimilate us within a few million years.
Therefore, justifications for harming people on Earth today in the name of protecting the entire universe over all time from UFAI in the future, like this one, should not be done. Our default assumption should be that the offspring of Earth will at best have a short happy life.
ADDED: If you observe, as many have, that Earth has not yet been assimilated, you can draw one of these conclusions:
Surely, for a Bayesian, the more reasonable conclusion is number 2! Conclusion 1 has priors we can estimate numerically. Conclusion 2 has priors we know very little about.
To say, "I am so confident in my beliefs about what a superintelligent AI will do, that I consider it more likely that I live on an astronomically lucky planet, than that those beliefs are wrong", is something I might come up with if asked to draw a caricature of irrationality.