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timtyler comments on Ben Goertzel on Charity - Less Wrong Discussion

1 Post author: XiXiDu 09 March 2011 04:37PM

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Comment author: timtyler 10 March 2011 10:46:08PM *  0 points [-]

Eyeballing my own graph I give it about a 12% chance of being true. Ambitious - but not that extraordinary.

People are usually overoptimistic about the timescales of their own projects. It is typically an attempt to signal optimism and confidence.