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Servant comments on Can we stop using the word "rationalism"? - Less Wrong Discussion
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Throwing up numbers would just be pointless guessing for the sake of pointless guessing, but because of the tight-knit nature of the blog in question (meaning that people here tend to share the same ideas and values concerning rationality), I'd say that the chances of regression for the LessWrong community would be significantly lower than the chances of regression for two random individuals.
If you do it systematically, picking odds and tracking them can help with your calilbration. Doing it in public helps because it puts a little bit of status on the line, which makes one care about getting it right.