= 27d567bc2d48d9f40e9ccc20ea370b15)
TheOtherDave comments on John Baez Interviews with Eliezer (Parts 2 and 3) - Less Wrong Discussion
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
= 783df68a0f980790206b9ea87794c5b6)
Loading…= b715d02e85f7b3b4ae65ca3d3e450868)
Subscribe to RSS Feed
Powered by Reddit
= f037147d6e6c911a85753b9abdedda8d)
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (34)
You raise this issue a lot, so now I'm curious how you cash it out in actual numbers:
For the sake of concreteness, call Va the value to you of 10% of your total assets at this moment. (In other words, going from your current net worth to 90% of your net worth involves a loss of Va.)
What's your estimate of the value of a positive Singularity in terms of Va?
What's your estimate of the probability (P%) of a positive Singularity at this moment?
What's your estimate of how much P% would increment by if you invested an additional 10% of your total assets at this moment in the most efficient available mechanism for incrementing P%?