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prase comments on Bayesian Epistemology vs Popper - Less Wrong Discussion

-1 Post author: curi 06 April 2011 11:50PM

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Comment author: JoshuaZ 08 April 2011 03:32:23AM 1 point [-]

This avoids the question. If it helps, try to construct a version of this in the least convenient possible world. For example, one obvious thing to do would be that something about theory X means the plant can only be turned on at a certain celestial conjunction (yes, this is silly but it gets the point across. That's why it is a least convenient world) and otherwise would need to wait a thousand years.

One can vary the situation. For example, it might be that under theory X, medicine A will save a terminally ill cancer patient, and under theory Y, medicine B will save them. And A and B together will kill the patient according to both theories.