You're looking at Less Wrong's discussion board. This includes all posts, including those that haven't been promoted to the front page yet. For more information, see About Less Wrong.

Misha comments on A Problem with Human Intuition about Conventional Statistics: - Less Wrong Discussion

-1 Post author: Kai-o-logos 20 April 2011 11:41PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Article Navigation

Comments (9)
Tags: bayesian bayes statistics god

Comments (9)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: [deleted] 21 April 2011 04:43:42PM 3 points [-]

Conditional probabilities are allowed to be 100%, because they are probability ratios. In particular, P(A|A) is 100% by definition.

Comment author: Kai-o-logos 21 April 2011 05:18:26PM -1 points [-]

But P(E|D) is not 100% by any definition. Conditional probabilities are only 100% if

D-->E. And if that was true, why does this argument exist?

Powered by Reddit Powered by Reddit