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byrnema comments on Nonmagical Powers - Less Wrong Discussion

38 Post author: sixes_and_sevens 26 April 2011 10:53AM

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Comment author: byrnema 27 April 2011 01:57:18AM * 1 point [-]

Now, I'm not sure that my comment was obvious or not. I thought that it would be.

Do people generally agree that this strategy should not be expected to win most of the time? (I would guess not even half the time, but this is just above where my estimate would be for large N.)

It seems appropriate to 'ask the crowd'..

Strategy shouldn't win contest most of the time.

Strategy should win contest most of the time.

Not obvious either way.

Karma balance.

per JoshuaZ'a request:

Strategy will win more frequently than trying to estimate but won't win most of the time