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hairyfigment comments on Death Note, Anonymity, and Information Theory - Less Wrong Discussion
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I more or less agree with you on point 1. A rational person could have reasoned in that way. But I think we have to say that Light did not. He wanted people to recognize his work when it came to killing apparent criminals because he wanted admiration as a goal in itself. This led to the most obviously avoidable mistake, #3.
I disagree, even in the very first episode he specifically outlines that part of his plan is that when people notice criminals are dying they will be less inclined to become criminals.
I wouldn't say #3 was that easily avoidable, I didn't see it coming myself, while in #4 it was all I could do to restrain myself from yelling 'idiot!' at the screen.
Yes, I believe that on the level of explicit reasoning he wants to kill criminals with heart attacks to deter crime (and use deaths of other kinds to secretly dispose of people who he thinks don't contribute). Then he gets agitated and kills Lind with a heart attack before verifying that he needs to kill Lind at all. This supports the theory that (like any other fascist dictator) he wants admiration and obedience more than a better world.