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calcsam comments on The elephant in the room, AMA - Less Wrong Discussion
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On second thought -- and a lot of effort trying to write definitive replies -- you're right, I'll post what I have.
Maybe afterward you could write up an answer post that summarizes some of the most important questions and/or is a summary of your evidence? It gets hard to find particular answers in posts with many interlocking nested comment threads. Don't if it would be too much trouble, obviously, but I and probably several other people would appreciate it.