= 27d567bc2d48d9f40e9ccc20ea370b15)
endoself comments on List of compartmentalized people (who both win and fail at truth-seeking) - Less Wrong Discussion
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
= 783df68a0f980790206b9ea87794c5b6)
Loading…= b715d02e85f7b3b4ae65ca3d3e450868)
Subscribe to RSS Feed
Powered by Reddit
= f037147d6e6c911a85753b9abdedda8d)
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (25)
Gah, too many negatives. Does he think that the codes are unlikely or that their nonexistence is unlikely. It seems to mean the second but, if so, it is a very awkward phrasing.
I was trying to get at Aumann being clever and statistics-savvy enough not to state that they exist for certain, but that he is almost as wrong to assign them any non-negligible probability (as he clearly does).