Can you confidently assert (p > 0.8) that, since the advent of modern lotteries, at least a thousand people have arrived independently in circumstances under which buying lottery tickets was a non-stupid action?
That sounds reasonable to me - though it is not what I claimed. For instance, if someone in authority tells you to buy a lottery ticket for them.
Today's post, New Improved Lottery was originally publeslished on April 13, 2007. A summary (from the LW wiki):
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