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Armok_GoB comments on Survey: Risks from AI - Less Wrong Discussion
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I have to much meta uncertainty about my own abilities as a rationalist and general reliability of my mind to make claims I can honestly clasify as probabilities, but for some intuitive "strength of anticipation" (which a large chunk of everyone who THINKS they are giving probabilities are probably giving anyway) is as follows:
2025, 2040, 2060
GIVEN the AI is bad? ~100% (again, this is not an actual probability)
99%?
immensely, vastly more. Large chunk of the world economy should probably be dedicated to it.
yes.
Plenty. The first that comes to mind if uploading the brain of some fairly smart animal.