How do you expect to prove anything about an FAI without even knowing what an AGI would look like? I don't think current AI researchers even have that great of an idea of what AGI will eventually look like...
Now improving on state of the art might not be helpful but being in a position where you could improve on state of the art would be; and the best way to make sure you are in such a position is to have actually done it at least once.
How do you expect to prove anything about an FAI without even knowing what an AGI would look like? I don't think current AI researchers even have that great of an idea of what AGI will eventually look like...
It will be (and look) the way we make it. And we should make it right, which requires first figuring out what that is.
One of the reasons that I am skeptical of contributing money to the SIAI is that I simply don't know what they would do with more money. The SIAI currently seems to be viable. Another reason is that I believe that an empirical approach is required, that we need to learn more about the nature of intelligence before we can even attempt to solve something like friendly AI.
I bring this up because I just came across an old post (2007) on the SIAI blog:
Some questions:
I also have some questions regarding the hiring of experts. Is there a way to figure out what exactly the current crew is working on in terms of friendly AI research? Peter de Blanc seems to be the only person who has done some actual work related to artificial intelligence.
I am aware that preparatory groundwork has to be done and capital has to be raised. But why is there no timeline? Why is there no progress report? What is missing for the SIAI to actually start working on friendly AI? The Singularity Institute is 10 years old, what is planned for the decade ahead?