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timtyler comments on Born rule or universal prior? - Less Wrong Discussion

7 Post author: cousin_it 29 June 2011 11:27PM

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Comment author: timtyler 01 July 2011 07:25:34PM *  0 points [-]

The Born rule, combined with the usual counting argument, implies you should say "about 1 million". The universal prior implies you should say "substantially less than 1 million". Which will it be?

If you had a mysterious K-complexity-measuring black-box wired to the output - and the output consistently pushed it to the max - I figure the universal prior would predict that it would stay that way in the immediate future.