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AlephNeil comments on Born rule or universal prior? - Less Wrong Discussion
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O(BB^-1) (or whatever it is) is still greater than O(1) though, and (as best I can reconstruct it) your argument relies on there being a constant penalty.
Yeah, kind of, but the situation still worries me. Should you expect the universe to switch away from the Born rule after you've observed 3^^^^3 perfectly fine random bits, just because the K-complexity of 3^^^^3 is small?