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Pavitra comments on Making an Amanda Knox prediction market - Less Wrong Discussion

2 Post author: Kevin 30 June 2011 12:53AM

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Comment author: Pavitra 30 June 2011 03:32:34AM 3 points [-]

At what odds?

Also, I'd guess that p(released on appeal) < p(innocent). Are you taking that into account?

Comment author: Kevin 30 June 2011 06:22:11AM *  2 points [-]

Even odds. If you think I'm not sufficiently taking that into account, perhaps you should take the other side of the bet.

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