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Kevin comments on Making an Amanda Knox prediction market - Less Wrong Discussion
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Comments (24)
Yes, I'd take the 20% side of the bet. Shall we?
And I agree with the autism likelihood, and think the Italian inquisitor confused autism for sociopathy. I read the Rolling Stone article referenced in the Time blog and thought of it as clear evidence of autistic behavior before reading the Time article. http://www.rollingstone.com/culture/news/the-neverending-nightmare-of-amanda-knox-20110627?print=true
(Apologies for the delay...I've been away working on various translations, including of the [report].)(http://knoxdnareport.wordpress.com/).
I don't see why not.
I entertained it for a day or two, but I really don't think so. There are a lot of disconfirming signs that the Time article ignores. I think it's just a matter of pure personality and (sub)cultural mores.