(Apologies for the delay...I've been away working on various translations, including of the [report].)(http://knoxdnareport.wordpress.com/).
Yes, I'd take the 20% side of the bet. Shall we?
I don't see why not.
And I agree with the autism likelihood,
I entertained it for a day or two, but I really don't think so. There are a lot of disconfirming signs that the Time article ignores. I think it's just a matter of pure personality and (sub)cultural mores.
I'm not sure if anyone has been following the appeal...
but I'm willing to bet up to several hundred dollars at even odds that Amanda Knox will be released on appeal.