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komponisto comments on Making an Amanda Knox prediction market - Less Wrong Discussion
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(Apologies for the delay...I've been away working on various translations, including of the [report].)(http://knoxdnareport.wordpress.com/).
I don't see why not.
I entertained it for a day or two, but I really don't think so. There are a lot of disconfirming signs that the Time article ignores. I think it's just a matter of pure personality and (sub)cultural mores.