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timtyler comments on Hanson Debating Yudkowsky, Jun 2011 - Less Wrong Discussion
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73:00 - this seems to be a mis-summary by Hanson. I am pretty sure that Norvig was saying that complex models were still useful - not that simpler ones didn't even exist.
The situation is similar to that with compression. If you can compress a bit that is still useful - and it is easier to do than compressing a lot.