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muflax comments on Guardian column on ugh fields, mentions LW - Less Wrong Discussion

24 Post author: Kaj_Sotala 09 July 2011 12:34PM

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Comment author: [deleted] 11 July 2011 11:11:14PM 1 point [-]

My reasoning was along the lines of 'well, now he's publicly committed to it and would be ashamed to make a comment or post' and that LW can be something of a habit - and once habits are broken, they're easy to continue to not engage in.

My impression is that XiXiDu has been talking about needing to study more and leaving LW / utility considerations for quite some time now. I don't think he even can make serious commitments right now. He didn't even delete his livejournal yet.

Although note I slightly cheat by specifying posts and comments - so he could engage in private messages or voting on comments & posts, and I would not count that as a falsification of the prediction.

Neither would I. Coming back under a new name would count, though.

Comment author: gwern 12 July 2011 12:16:22AM 1 point [-]

Mm. Well, we shall see. Not deleting LJ isn't a warning signal for me - having LJ can encourage your studying ('what do I write up today?') which LW doesn't necessarily ('what do I read on LW today?').

Neither would I. Coming back under a new name would count, though.

Good point; I'll clarify that when I say 'XiXiDu' in the prediction, I mean the underlying person and not the specific LW account.

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