The impression I get, though, is that if I'm going to see major benefits from switching to paleo those benefits will come more from excluding grains (and going into ketosis) than from including more fats
I'd say the opposite. There's quite a bit of evidence that eating certain types of fats is good for your brain. I personally have found significant mental performance after eating butter or MCT oil.
Ketosis is a bit extreme in excluding carbs (especially for someone who lives on bread!) and isn't necessary. I couldn't measure any difference in mental performance in/out of ketosis (though there could have been subtle differences in a dimension I wasn't measuring. I generally stay out of ketosis because when I'm in ketosis I won't eat enough which can effect my energy levels until I force myself to eat.
Hm. Helpful! I'm guessing I should set up a simple arithmetic test like he has so I can track mental changes that way, then try adding some butter to my diet.
So, I know a number of friends on Paleo who recommend it. I recently read through a lot of bulletproofexec, who recommends his own variant of paleo. I care about my health, and so I need to resolve my diet and their advice somehow. Summarized data points:
I find the logic behind paleo questionable. Yes, hunter-gatherers are adapted to a different diet, but fire was first used to cook food 2 million years ago, and appears widespread by 100 kiloyears (ky) ago, with noticeable adaptations in humans (from smaller teeth to resistance to air pollution). Lactose tolerance demonstrates the ability of human biology to adapt to new diets. Civilization dramatically speeds up evolution- it probably took about 25ky for European hunter-gatherers (and later farmers) to go from a mean IQ of 85 to 100, and about 1ky for urban European Jews to go from a mean IQ of 100 to 115. Am I really supposed to believe that there aren't genes floating around that wheat (domesticated 10ky ago) is good for?
My interpretation of this data is that my current diet works well for me, and paleo is unlikely to work better. I am willing to experiment, though- if I will actually live better on a different diet, there is little holding me back besides a lack of information. My values, in descending order of importance, are: brain function, overall health, appearance, mood, and cost. (Note that those are weights- something can improve brain function but be so costly in dollars, prep time, and terrible taste that I'm not interested.)
So my question for you is: Should I try paleo (more likely, the bulletproof diet)? If I do, what data should I collect? Better yet, what data can I collect now to determine if I have any nutritional deficiencies?