lucidfox comments on Transsexuals and otherkin - Less Wrong Discussion
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Psychology hasn't advanced enough. It's been discussed here on LW over and over again. It is ultimately based on an inherent degree of subjectivity and something more akin to a collection of best practices than actual science.
Transitioning is always a risk - the best that can be done is minimizing the likelihood of such an event by carefully evaluating the pros and cons beforehand.
And while it is a therapist making the final decision, it is ultimately based on self-diagnosis. If you don't realize you have gender identity problems, nobody else will do it for you.
Yes. That's why it's really fucking important to figure out how to self-diagnose rather than say "Eh, people are whatever they say they are".
I'd settle for improved heuristics.
If you can offer a rigorous, general procedure for that, I'm willing to listen.