I need a little help. Would anybody like to run through an example with a deck of cards? Say i hypothesize a deck of cards to be 1/2 hearts. If i draw from the top with replacement, how should i update when i see a heart or none heat according to this formalism? or say the hypothesis says that 90% of the cards are hearts, same question.

I understand the law when i interpret P(E) getting bigger, as becoming more confident that you saw a heart, or as having a higher expectation of seeing a heart, but i get confused when i thinkofit as actually having seen more hearts. can anyone help please?