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omslin comments on Another treatment of Direct Instruction getting more into the technical details of the theory - Less Wrong Discussion

-3 Post author: Owen_Richardson 02 September 2011 06:06AM

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Comment author: omslin 05 September 2011 03:25:41PM 1 point [-]

So, if I were to make you a bet that #1-and-#2 is true [then you should rationally accept it if] gjmgain0.01>owengain0.99..

If you seriously made such a bet, then gjm would probably update on that evidence and revise his 99% probability upwards.

[But as gjm says the bet is impractical anyway because it's too hard to resolve]

Comment author: Owen_Richardson 05 September 2011 05:35:33PM 0 points [-]

We'd get it settled by a respected public figure. Someone like Eliezer obviously springs to mind in the context of LW.

And believe me, I thought of how me just offering the bet should update him above his current level. I'm just trying to get him to read books, obviously :P

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