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prase comments on 9/11 as mindkiller - Less Wrong Discussion

12 Post author: NancyLebovitz 12 September 2011 05:44PM

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Comment author: prase 12 September 2011 10:06:36PM 7 points [-]

Why can't WWII and Vietnam be both in the right reference class? The correct reference class needn't be uniform in the relevant properties. Perhaps it is impossible to conclusively decide about the net effect of an incoming war using only reference class statistics.