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MichaelHoward comments on Peter Thiel warns of upcoming (and current) stagnation - Less Wrong Discussion

24 Post author: SilasBarta 04 October 2011 05:30PM

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Comment author: MichaelHoward 04 October 2011 07:19:18PM 2 points [-]

I don't think they disagree on all that much

I mean about acceleration/deceleration of technological change.

they're just emphasizing different trends.

That might be one way of putting it.

Comment author: SilasBarta 04 October 2011 07:28:47PM 28 points [-]

RK: Computers are getting faster.
PT: True, but new drugs are coming out slower.
RK: True, but computers are getting cheaper.
PT: True, but travel is getting slower.
RK: True, but the best medical technologies can do more.
PT: True, but the price of access to them is ballooning.
RK: True, but this can be overcome with sufficiently fast growth in a few critical sectors.
PT: True, but it won't be if the current political and economic environment persists.
RK: True, but it won't persist.
PT: Yes it will, unless we do something to reverse it.
RK: Yes, and we will.
PT: ...
RK: I think we still have 55 minutes left.

Comment author: Nick_Tarleton 05 October 2011 05:55:50AM 4 points [-]

RK: Yes, and we will.

I wonder what his argument for that would be.

Comment author: pedanterrific 04 October 2011 07:33:36PM 9 points [-]

The next fifty-five minutes would be the most interesting part, though. Can you imagine the small talk between those two?

Comment author: roystgnr 05 October 2011 04:55:41PM 3 points [-]