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Phlebas comments on Marsh et al. "Serotonin Transporter Genotype (5-HTTLPR) Predicts Utilitarian Moral Judgments" - Less Wrong Discussion
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If they have previous studies specifically addressing the relationship between 5-HTTLPR and utilitarian calculations, for which I'll take your word, that does indeed increase my degree of belief that they formed that specific hypothesis and that one only before performing the experiment.
Sorry, that sentence was unclear- they have previous studies dealing with trolley-like problems and previous studies dealing with 5-HTTLPR's relation to things like fear recognition and strength of perceived rewards and punishments. They don't, as far as I know, have studies dealing with the relationship between 5-HTTLPR and trolley-like problems until now.