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JesseGalef comments on Overcoming the Curse of Knowledge - Less Wrong Discussion

42 Post author: JesseGalef 18 October 2011 05:39PM

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Comment author: JesseGalef 18 October 2011 08:47:31PM 3 points [-]

I'm mostly been using it to track my predictions about the winner of each football game, but have my preferences set to leave predictions private.

As expected, I'm inappropriately confident at most levels of "confidence feeling" except the very high levels, where my accuracy can be more attributed to luck and a small sample size.