His points are individually cogent, but something about the tone of the piece makes me suspect Dark Arts at work. I'm generally rather suspicious of arguments deriving a broad range of evolutionary consequences (particularly gloomy ones) from some social trend; it's too easy to privilege the hypothesis in such cases, and hard to prove when it happens. And nature vs. nurture is a topic I'm particularly suspicious of, since it bears directly on a number of social policy issues.
The post tells a plausible story, but within the space of plausible stories I don't see much that privileges it. If it was supported by data, that'd be another thing; perhaps you could look at the reproductive success of the relatives of people with schizophrenia or other externally obvious problems with heritable components, and compare between rural and urban settings. Or just take a survey on attitudes towards nature vs. nurture, although in that case you'd probably have to control for age and politics (rural areas skew older and more conservative).
(Anecdotally, I did grow up in a small town, and while I knew the parents and siblings of most of my friends growing up I don't think I had enough data to put together a clear picture of family traits. Upstate California in the 1990s is a far cry from the Kalahari, though.)
Anecdotally, I did grow up in a small town, and while I knew the parents and siblings of most of my friends growing up I don't think I had enough data to put together a clear picture of family traits.
Did your parents and grandparents grow up in the same town? Those of your friends?
A recent entry from the West Hunters blog (written by Gregory Cochran and Henry Harpending with whom most LWers are probably already familiar with) caught my eye:
Seems quite coherent. It meshes well with findings that the more children parents have the less they subscribe to nurture, since they finally, possibly for the first time ever, get some hands on experience with the nurture (nurture as in stuff like upbringing not nurture as in lead paint) versus. nature issue. Note that today urban, educated, highly intelligent people are less likley to have children than possibly ever, how is this likley to effect intellectual fashions?
Perhaps somewhat related to this is also the transition in the past 150 years (the time frame depending on where exactly you live) from agricultural communities, that often raised livestock to urban living. What exactly "variation" and "heredity" might mean in a intuitive way thus comes another source short with no clear replacement.