If an allele has no selection pressure on it then we should expect the frequency to be as likely to go up as it will be to go down.
If an allele exists currently at frequency X, and the selection pressure on it changes upwards, what should we expect? The frequency to increase. Of course it is possible for the frequency to decrease, and I made no comments on the variance of that expectation.
if the deleterious effects of schizophrenia have been reduced we should expect the percentage of the population that has it to stay roughly constant.
Why is this the case? The deleterious effects of schizophrenia are that schizophrenics and those suspected of sharing their genes have less grandchildren. If those effects are reduced, that means that there are more grandchildren.
Curious about cause for downvote. Everything above is essentially what one will get in an intro genetics course. Nothing above should be controversial. Is this being downvoted as too trivial?
I didn't downvote the comment, but I suspect someone saw it as trivially wrong.
If an allele exists currently at frequency X, and the selection pressure on it changes upwards, what should we expect? The frequency to increase.
Barring cases the rare cases where new copies of the allele are being generated from individuals who do not have copies of that allele (such as the example JoshuaZ gave), then if the selection pressure for an allele is negative, we should expect its frequency to go down, although for rare recessive alleles this rate will tend to be extremely slow. If the selection pressure goes up, but continues to be negative,...
A recent entry from the West Hunters blog (written by Gregory Cochran and Henry Harpending with whom most LWers are probably already familiar with) caught my eye:
Seems quite coherent. It meshes well with findings that the more children parents have the less they subscribe to nurture, since they finally, possibly for the first time ever, get some hands on experience with the nurture (nurture as in stuff like upbringing not nurture as in lead paint) versus. nature issue. Note that today urban, educated, highly intelligent people are less likley to have children than possibly ever, how is this likley to effect intellectual fashions?
Perhaps somewhat related to this is also the transition in the past 150 years (the time frame depending on where exactly you live) from agricultural communities, that often raised livestock to urban living. What exactly "variation" and "heredity" might mean in a intuitive way thus comes another source short with no clear replacement.