You're looking at Less Wrong's discussion board. This includes all posts, including those that haven't been promoted to the front page yet. For more information, see About Less Wrong.

Caspian comments on Deviant argumentation regarding Monty Hall problem - Less Wrong Discussion

1 Post author: Craig_Heldreth 25 October 2011 11:27PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (17)

You are viewing a single comment's thread.

Comment author: Caspian 27 October 2011 02:06:19PM 0 points [-]

Monty should try and predict whether the player is the type to switch or not. If they are not, and a switch would help them, he should offer the switch. In some of the other cases, perhaps randomly, he should refrain from offering the switch.

If he is behaving purely randomly he should not tell people, or it would be like playing rock paper scissors against a random number generator instead of a human - lower drama.