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gwern comments on PredictionBook: A Short Note - Less Wrong Discussion

20 Post author: Jayson_Virissimo 10 November 2011 03:10PM

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Comment author: gwern 10 November 2011 05:26:00PM 3 points [-]

Edit: Why are you allowed to see what others predicted before you make a prediction yourself? That seems like it would wholly bias people...

One should be able to usefully incorporate other people's opinions, if only to adjust in the opposite direction!

As well, it'd be something of a UI/usability nightmare. If you really want to avoid contamination/additional information, make your own prediction and set it private or something.