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printing-spoon comments on PredictionBook: A Short Note - Less Wrong Discussion

20 Post author: Jayson_Virissimo 10 November 2011 03:10PM

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Comment author: printing-spoon 10 November 2011 08:51:19PM 2 points [-]

I don't think in numbers, so I would expect to do really really badly for a really really long time, and I'm shy about things I realize I'm bad at. If I were going to embark on a long-term project to log lots of predictions for my own calibration and learning-what-percentages-feel-like, a text file on my own computer would do, wouldn't it?

You can make your predictions private.

Comment author: Alicorn 10 November 2011 08:54:38PM 1 point [-]

In which case the advantage of putting them on PredictionBook is what?

Comment author: matt 10 November 2011 10:52:47PM 10 points [-]

PredictionBook supports "When will you know?" and "Email me when I should know the outcome", so you can make a long term prediction and set a reminder date.

Comment author: Desrtopa 10 November 2011 09:13:41PM *  2 points [-]

Not forgetting about them, maybe? If I'm going to write something down for myself that I'm going to want to remember months or years later, I'd rather do it online somewhere where I can be sure I won't simply lose track of it.

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