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Morendil comments on PredictionBook: A Short Note - Less Wrong Discussion

20 Post author: Jayson_Virissimo 10 November 2011 03:10PM

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Comment author: Morendil 11 November 2011 10:30:54AM 0 points [-]

This post and the comments inspired me to take a quick look at my history with PB.

  • joined: 2009-10-14, the day it was announced on LW
  • entered estimates on 5 "easy" predictions from others, one non-trivial, and created 3 private predictions
  • entered 2 private predictions and 2 estimates the next month, november 2009
  • briefly back in february 2010, 1 private prediction and one estimate
  • briefly back in september 2010, for 5 private predictions of professional interest
  • started using it again more regularly september 2011, with most of my activity occurring since then (25 transactions)

My participation in the Good Judgment project was the trigger for renewed interest in predictions and PB.com.