I thought some of you might find this interesting, Random Flu Thoughts. The last part has a pretty good, if elementary, illustration of the importance of base rates.
This is why we do population studies and don't rely on anecdotes because we cant be sure otherwise if the cause is due to a vaccine or randomness.
I thought some of you might find this interesting, Random Flu Thoughts. The last part has a pretty good, if elementary, illustration of the importance of base rates.