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orthonormal comments on Bayes Slays Goodman's Grue - Less Wrong Discussion

0 Post author: potato 17 November 2011 10:45AM

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Comment author: orthonormal 25 November 2011 03:19:20PM 2 points [-]

So... your Bayesian answer to the grue problem is to become a frequentist? You're doing it wrong.

As has been pointed out to you, "grue" is a description of a perfectly consistent prior on observations. The reason that "green" is preferable is its simplicity (in terms of basic predictions of physical events) and specificity (i.e. if T is unspecified, then the "green" hypothesis makes more specific predictions than "grue", while if it is specified, then the complexity of the number T comes into play).