XiXiDu comments on Connecting Your Beliefs (a call for help) - Less Wrong Discussion
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For me there are a lot of things that sound completely sane but might be just bunk. Antimatter weapons, grey goo, the creation of planet eating black holes by particle accelerators, aliens or string theory. I don't have the necessary education to discern those ideas from an intelligence explosion. They all sound like possibilities to me that might or might not be true. All I can do is to recognize their extraordinary status and subsequently demand the peer-review and assessment of those ideas by a larger and educated audience. Otherwise I run the risk of being swayed by the huge utility associated with those ideas, I run the risk of falling prey to a Pascalian mugger.
Is Luke Muehlhauser that competent when it comes to all the fields associated with artificial intelligence research?
It's not old, it becomes more relevant each day. Since I first voiced skepticism about the topic they expanded to the point of having world-wide meetings. At least a few people playing devil's advocate is a healthy exercise in my opinion :-)
Are you playing devil's advocate?
For what it's worth, I consider these things to have very different levels and kinds of implausibility.