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Manfred comments on Probability puzzle - Less Wrong Discussion
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Comments (26)
Please clarify your setup. I'm almost certain that you don't want to put a uniform distribution over the "heads:tails ratios" covering (0, +∞). Rather you mean a uniform distribution of the heads probability over (0, 1), right?
Yeah, if the distribution looked anything like that the answer would just be N=1, bet heads. So in the interest of interesting problems, it should be interpreted as an uniform distribution over P(heads).